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  Patent Valuation for Pharmaceutical Industry by Option Theory

A study of US patents related to AIDS medication
Roger Kang, Dora P.C. Lee, and William W.L. Chen
Continuous research and technological innovation are crucial to sustainable business in many industries, especially, in pharmaceutical industry, it takes a long time and many stages to develop a new drug. However, the possibility for successfully developing a new drug is quite low. Generally speaking, if there are 5,000 to 10,000 compounds being studied initially, probably only one drug is approved by FDA to enter the market. Whether one stage can smoothly proceed depends on the result of its previous stage and no one can ensure that technologies or results developed in the previous stage can be successfully applied in the next one. Since developing new drugs is a high-risk investment, it is important to "secure" the developed technologies or results, no matter by filing patents to exclude competitors from entering the market, or by licensing those developed technologies out for profit. Technology transfer or patent licensing activity, therefore, has been substantially grown in pharmaceutical industry and then how to evaluate pharmaceutical-related patent or technology plays the key role in such business transaction.





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